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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fyrskenCORGII00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)54% (290–248, n=538)62% (393–245, n=638)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$23K$4.5M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #808PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus20% (1 of 5 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position55% (12 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=189, ROI +44%
  • NHL +46 pts n=60, ROI +44%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=31, ROI +41%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won96% of 288 at avg 50¢, ROI +44%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 100% of 1)9% (won 92% of 36)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢52% (won 95% of 150)56% (won 99% of 223)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 96% of 128)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 9)2% (won 100% of 7)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketfyrskenCORGII00gringo00primm
Spread: Rams (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Chargers $124——Rams $4
Chargers vs. Rams
same side · consensus Rams
Chargers $78——Chargers $1.1K