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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fyrsken | RN1 | CORGII | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (290–248, n=538) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $23K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #808 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 20% (2 of 10 open) | 64% (21 of 33 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 288 at avg 50¢, ROI +44% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 52% (won 95% of 150) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 96% of 128) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 100% of 9) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fyrsken | RN1 | CORGII | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $215 | Under $954 | — | — |