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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ghorrock | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (6240–5559, n=11799) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) |
| Consensus PnL | -$16K | $3.5M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #509 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (153 of 212 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 33% (4 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 2068 at avg 72¢, ROI +10% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 87% of 90) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 100% of 369) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 100% of 401) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 100% of 1208) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ghorrock | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $3 | — | — | Commanders $3.4K |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $13 | — | — | Commanders $2.3K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 36.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2 | — | — | Under $567 |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $2 | — | — | Commanders $23 |
| Spread: Commanders (-9.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $5 | — | — | Commanders $1.8K |