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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ghorrock | beachboy4 | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6254–5679, n=11933) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 50% (992–980, n=1972) |
| Consensus PnL | -$18K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #509 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (168 of 223 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 2127 at avg 72¢, ROI +10% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 85% of 95) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 100% of 373) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 100% of 414) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 100% of 1245) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ghorrock | beachboy4 | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $376 | Yes $68 | — | — |