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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| googleplay | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | Shimi1234 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (3–4, n=7) | 54% (170–143, n=313) | 42% (13–18, n=31) | 25% (1–3, n=4) |
| Consensus PnL | $353K | $186K | $208K | -$3.9K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #29 | was PM monthly #764 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 74% (31 of 42 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 100% of 149 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32% | 100% of 1 at avg 57¢, ROI +43% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 3) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 43% (won 100% of 64) | 65% (won 78% of 36) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 42% (won 100% of 62) | 29% (won 94% of 16) | 100% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 13% (won 100% of 20) | 4% (won 50% of 2) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | Shimi1234 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $46K | Thunder $7.8K | — | — |