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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
googleplayhewhodoesitrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18robustmst
Record (consensus markets)40% (2–3, n=5)100% (2–0, n=2)63% (12–7, n=19)41% (12–17, n=29)
Consensus PnL$391K-$30K$251K$208K
Tracked asPM monthly #17was PM monthly #922PM monthly #20 + pinnedPM monthly #36
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)43% (3 of 7 open)64% (9 of 14 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +40 pts n=29, ROI +35%
  • Soccer +47 pts n=11, ROI +39%
  • NBA +13 pts n=15, ROI +22%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%—100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢0%—11% (won 100% of 1)2% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 70% of 10)—33% (won 100% of 3)65% (won 78% of 36)
Entries 50–70¢76% (won 85% of 41)—44% (won 100% of 4)29% (won 94% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 3)—11% (won 100% of 1)4% (won 50% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketgoogleplayhewhodoesitrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18robustmst
Celtics vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—76ers $16KCeltics $217K—
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Bucks $57KKnicks $87K——
Clippers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Clippers $3.1KSuns $92K—
Heat vs. Jazz
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $10KJazz $60K—
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Heat $5.0KJazz $12K—
Bucks vs. Knicks
same side · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $6.9KKnicks $98K—