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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
grinder1011joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (104–138, n=242)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL$5.4K$5.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #748PM monthly #2PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus45% (35 of 78 open)no open consensus position61% (124 of 203 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicElections −10 pts, n=11——
Settled positions, side won51% of 178 at avg 42¢, ROI +5%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢46% (won 13% of 82)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 68% of 22)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 74% of 23)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 94% of 51)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.