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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
hasobidaleBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)66% (232–122, n=354)45% (535–643, n=1178)48% (12851–13947, n=26798)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$4.7K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #987PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)71% (82 of 116 open)63% (5 of 8 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won66% of 345 at avg 65¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 52% of 21)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢59% (won 64% of 203)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 73% of 119)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkethasobidaleBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus TheMongolz
Legacy $816——TheMongolz $21K
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Heroic
Heroic $804——B8 $20K