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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| heyboy800 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (1086–661, n=1747) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$23K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #975 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 62% (13 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Tennis −3 pts, n=213 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 1405 at avg 59¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 15% of 55) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 40% of 258) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 53% (won 59% of 738) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 79% of 354) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | heyboy800 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $4.9K | Over $678 | — | — |
| Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 8.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $68 | Under $99 | — | — |