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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
heyboy800beachboy40x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Record (consensus markets)62% (1090–665, n=1755)68% (43–20, n=63)56% (101–79, n=180)47% (13849–15328, n=29177)
Consensus PnL-$14K$5.8M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #975was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #373PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTennis −3 pts, n=214NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won59% of 1439 at avg 59¢, ROI −1%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 15% of 55)3% (won 17% of 6)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 41% of 264)29% (won 56% of 62)26% (won 93% of 29)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢53% (won 59% of 759)54% (won 51% of 115)42% (won 96% of 47)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 79% of 361)14% (won 86% of 29)24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketheyboy800beachboy40x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter
same side · consensus Katie Boulter
Viktorija Golubic $286——Viktorija Golubic $2.6K