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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
hithitfarCORGIIsainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)60% (553–372, n=925)62% (393–245, n=638)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$4.6K$4.5M$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #880PM monthly #68was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position74% (73 of 99 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won64% of 444 at avg 52¢, ROI +4%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 24% of 127)9% (won 92% of 36)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 58% of 76)56% (won 99% of 223)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 75% of 87)33% (won 100% of 133)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 94% of 154)2% (won 100% of 7)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.