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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| howard22222 | joseph00677 | primm | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 42% (135–189, n=324) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 50% (1248–1260, n=2508) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | -$26K | $3.3M | $3.6M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #72 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −12 pts, n=29 | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 228 at avg 45¢, ROI +21% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 12% of 42) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 40% of 80) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 63% of 95) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 82% of 11) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | howard22222 | joseph00677 | primm | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $30K | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $258K |