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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
iWasEnough0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188beachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)54% (7478–6494, n=13972)46% (131–154, n=285)68% (43–20, n=63)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)
Consensus PnL$37K$19.1M$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #335was PM monthly #715was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus66% (65 of 98 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEsports −2 pts, n=303College Basketball −12 pts, n=174NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won50% of 1914 at avg 47¢, ROI +1%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 17% of 507)0% (won 17% of 6)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 38% of 559)42% (won 46% of 565)30% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 64% of 461)57% (won 51% of 766)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 92% of 387)0% (won 100% of 4)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketiWasEnough0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188beachboy4RN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $198——Mariano Navone $631
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar
same side · consensus Rafael Jodar
Rafael Jodar $10——Rafael Jodar $1.1K