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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
iWasEnoughRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)55% (5265–4241, n=9506)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)46% (131–154, n=285)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$37K$13.4M$19.0M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #335PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #715was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus64% (63 of 99 open)50% (3 of 6 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEsports −2 pts, n=303—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won50% of 1914 at avg 47¢, ROI +1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 17% of 507)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 17% of 6)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 38% of 559)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 46% of 565)30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 64% of 461)36% (won 99% of 8928)57% (won 51% of 766)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 92% of 387)32% (won 100% of 7821)0% (won 100% of 4)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketiWasEnoughRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188beachboy4
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $149Mariano Navone $1.6K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz
same side · consensus Hubert Hurkacz
Lorenzo Musetti $165Lorenzo Musetti $61K——