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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| iWasEnough | RN1 | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (5265–4241, n=9506) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $37K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #335 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (65 of 99 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Esports −2 pts, n=303 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 1914 at avg 47¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 17% of 507) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 38% of 559) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 64% of 461) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 92% of 387) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | iWasEnough | RN1 | beachboy4 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone opposite sides · consensus Mariano Navone | Luca Van Assche $149 | Mariano Navone $3 | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti | Lorenzo Musetti $165 | Lorenzo Musetti $46K | — | — |