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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
iceblue-BreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)36% (585–1057, n=1642)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$16K$10.6M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #982PM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (71 of 96 open)25% (1 of 4 open)53% (9 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA −5 pts, n=87———
Settled positions, side won43% of 1484 at avg 41¢, ROI −1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 17% of 390)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 40% of 560)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 64% of 510)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 24)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketiceblue-BreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $6.8K