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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
insidero00gringo00BreakTheBank0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Record (consensus markets)77% (184–56, n=240)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)41% (1101–1609, n=2710)
Consensus PnL$18K$3.5M$10.6M$2.9M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #410
Sides with the consensus87% (55 of 63 open)no open consensus position88% (130 of 148 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won93% of 282 at avg 83¢, ROI +6%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%—
Entries under 30¢4% (won 20% of 10)0%10% (won 82% of 56)—
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 71% of 17)0%36% (won 98% of 198)—
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 92% of 24)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)—
Entries 70¢ and up82% (won 98% of 231)0%19% (won 100% of 107)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketinsidero00gringo00BreakTheBank0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.9K—No $202K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2K—No $25K—
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $689——Yes $956