Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
insideroBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)76% (179–56, n=235)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$18K$10.6M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus82% (47 of 57 open)79% (53 of 67 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won93% of 282 at avg 83¢, ROI +6%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 20% of 10)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 71% of 17)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 92% of 24)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up82% (won 98% of 231)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketinsideroBreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.9KNo $202K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2KNo $16K