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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| insidero | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 76% (180–56, n=236) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $18K | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (48 of 58 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 282 at avg 83¢, ROI +6% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 20% of 10) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 71% of 17) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 92% of 24) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 82% (won 98% of 231) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | insidero | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.9K | No $184K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $80 | No $24K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.2K | No $21K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.9K | Yes $1.1K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.1K | Yes $4.1K | — |