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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| jakepaulthegoat2008 | 00gringo00 | RN1 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (2813–2841, n=5654) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 61% (393–247, n=640) |
| Consensus PnL | -$490K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #43 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (9 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Tennis −1 pts, n=412 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 52% of 4629 at avg 49¢, ROI +5% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 23% of 637) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 43% (won 46% of 1999) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 60% of 1344) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 80% of 649) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | jakepaulthegoat2008 | 00gringo00 | RN1 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B opposite sides · consensus Aurora Gaming | Aurora Gaming $84K | — | — | Liquid $12K |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A same side · consensus TheMongolz | TheMongolz $63K | — | — | TheMongolz $30K |