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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
jakepaulthegoat2008RN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Record (consensus markets)50% (2807–2840, n=5647)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL-$602K$13.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #43 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus58% (7 of 12 open)70% (16 of 23 open)no open consensus position50% (9 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTennis −1 pts, n=412———
Settled positions, side won52% of 4628 at avg 49¢, ROI +5%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 23% of 643)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 46% of 1991)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 59% of 1343)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 80% of 651)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjakepaulthegoat2008RN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K