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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
jakepaulthegoat2008sainttroplayCORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)50% (2807–2840, n=5647)71% (10–4, n=14)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL-$602K$4.4M$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #43 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus54% (7 of 13 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)73% (73 of 100 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTennis −1 pts, n=412———
Settled positions, side won52% of 4628 at avg 49¢, ROI +5%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 23% of 643)0%9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 46% of 1991)50% (won 100% of 5)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 59% of 1343)50% (won 100% of 5)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 80% of 651)0%2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjakepaulthegoat2008sainttroplayCORGIIBreakTheBank
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs
same side · consensus DENDELE CS
Imperial $41K—Imperial $7.9K—
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
same side · consensus TheMongolz
TheMongolz $33K—TheMongolz $2.2K—
Celtics vs. Magic
same side · consensus Celtics
Magic $8.5K——Magic $24K
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
same side · consensus Heroic
B8 $2.4K—B8 $22K—