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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
jeremyclarjoseph00677primmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)44% (47–60, n=107)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)50% (19558–19625, n=39183)
Consensus PnL$13K$5.6M$3.6M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #873PM monthly #1PM monthly #51PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)68% (81 of 120 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNBA −2 pts, n=55———
Settled positions, side won45% of 105 at avg 48¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 0% of 2)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢69% (won 40% of 72)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 43% of 21)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 90% of 10)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.