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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677RN1stuttigweflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (19652–21409, n=41061)100% (5–0, n=5)52% (414–381, n=795)
Consensus PnL$3.2M$14.9M$63K$2.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #7PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #122Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position61% (17 of 28 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +3 pts n=601, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topic———Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 5 at avg 72¢, ROI +27%55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)0%3% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)0%41% (won 50% of 302)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)20% (won 100% of 1)51% (won 58% of 380)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)80% (won 100% of 4)5% (won 89% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677RN1stuttigweflyhigh
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen
—Yannick Hanfmann $5Alex Michelsen $25K—