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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677RN1tetrose
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)53% (126–111, n=237)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$14.8M$84K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #721
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (36 of 67 open)41% (7 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%56% of 301 at avg 42¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)46% (won 15% of 137)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)12% (won 80% of 35)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)16% (won 85% of 48)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)27% (won 99% of 81)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.