Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241joseph00677RN1tetrose
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (14377–16003, n=30380)53% (126–111, n=237)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$5.6M$14.8M$84K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #22 + pinnedwas PM monthly #721
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position57% (57 of 100 open)41% (7 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%56% of 301 at avg 42¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)46% (won 15% of 137)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)12% (won 80% of 35)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)16% (won 85% of 48)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)27% (won 99% of 81)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.