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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | klli27 | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 35% (284–526, n=810) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) | 50% (14548–14689, n=29237) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $98K | $4.2M | $3.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #130 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #60 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 93% (50 of 54 open) | 69% (25 of 36 open) | 61% (109 of 179 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | Economy −8 pts, n=24 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 38% of 344 at avg 39¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 58% (won 1% of 199) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 8% (won 60% of 899) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 3% (won 40% of 10) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 21% (won 87% of 2444) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 3% (won 58% of 12) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 39% (won 95% of 4418) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 36% (won 97% of 123) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 99% of 3709) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | klli27 | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $2.0M | Yes $76 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $242K | Yes $59 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $50 | Yes $2.4K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $818K | Yes $5 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $503K | Yes $121 |