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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | lastminwin | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 54% (14–12, n=26) | 48% (19552–21306, n=40858) | 75% (2556–858, n=3414) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.2M | $282K | $14.9M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #93 | PM monthly #33 + pinned | PM monthly #66 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 70% (40 of 57 open) | 61% (17 of 28 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 73% of 15 at avg 46¢, ROI +39% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 33% (won 20% of 5) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 27% (won 100% of 4) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | lastminwin | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $201K | — | No $7 |