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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | nehcnehc | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) | 62% (6110–3703, n=9813) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.2M | $4.6M | -$729K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #654 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 71% (67 of 95 open) | 77% (10 of 13 open) | 56% (24 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | Politics −7 pts, n=127 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 63% of 9781 at avg 64¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 1% (won 18% of 98) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 25% (won 44% of 2450) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 40% (won 55% of 3955) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 34% (won 87% of 3278) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | ndb1 | nehcnehc | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $830 | Over $238 |