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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm | qidao001 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 89% (1382–171, n=1553) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $4.6M | $3.6M | $10K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #966 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 74% (74 of 100 open) | 83% (10 of 12 open) | 73% (11 of 15 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 52% of 150 at avg 46¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 13% (won 5% of 20) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 38% (won 49% of 57) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 49% (won 67% of 73) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm | qidao001 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bears (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $22K | Buccaneers $46 |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $19K | Over $38 |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $13K | Over $15 |
| Spread: Bears (-17.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $12K | Buccaneers $25 |
| Spread: Bears (-16.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $9.0K | Buccaneers $18 |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $4.0K | Buccaneers $8 |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) same side · consensus Bears | — | — | Bears $3.5K | Bears $7 |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) same side · consensus Bears | — | — | Buccaneers $2.0K | Buccaneers $4 |
| Spread: Bears (-9.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $1.8K | Buccaneers $4 |
| Spread: Bears (-4.5) same side · consensus Bears | — | — | Buccaneers $333 | Buccaneers $2 |