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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677ndb1rayvanmechelenUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (888–469, n=1357)87% (2312–346, n=2658)50% (19560–19625, n=39185)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$4.2M$30K$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #149was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (34 of 46 open)65% (46 of 71 open)66% (79 of 119 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +42 pts n=901, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%98% of 980 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)2% (won 95% of 21)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)32% (won 98% of 318)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)51% (won 98% of 504)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)14% (won 98% of 137)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677ndb1rayvanmechelenUpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $169Under $21K
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $2Yes $978
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $193No $1.5K
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2Under $1.3K
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $11No $734
Will Mantova 1911 win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $50No $357
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $11No $310
Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $3No $134
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $29No $101
Will FC Astana win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $2No $47
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $15Under $10