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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677primmRN1thirdt1me
Record (consensus markets)43% (10–13, n=23)47% (1389–1566, n=2955)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)97% (138–5, n=143)
Consensus PnL$3.2M$3.6M$14.9M$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #7PM monthly #39PM monthly #33 + pinnedwas PM monthly #994
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position59% (17 of 29 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 131 at avg 70¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)5% (won 71% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)11% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 100% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)61% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677primmRN1thirdt1me
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter
——Alafia Ayeni $128Edward Winter $1.7K
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
——Janice Tjen $15KJanice Tjen $1.8K