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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
justaluckydudesainttroplay0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Record (consensus markets)59% (5014–3415, n=8429)71% (10–4, n=14)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$4.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #124was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #373PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus60% (25 of 42 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position53% (9 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 3467 at avg 60¢, ROI +40%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 100% of 152)0%7% (won 75% of 8)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 100% of 833)50% (won 100% of 5)26% (won 93% of 29)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 100% of 1457)50% (won 100% of 5)42% (won 96% of 47)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1025)0%24% (won 96% of 27)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjustaluckydudesainttroplay0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 32.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $394——Over $5.8K
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $50——Patriots $1.8K
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
Chiefs $2——Broncos $247
Spread: Rams (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Chargers $40——Rams $4
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $230——Over $3.2K
Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $2.8K——Under $250
Spread: Chargers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $410——Chargers $595
Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $49——Over $22
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $11——Over $4