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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh00gringo00RN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)45% (557–677, n=1234)75% (6–2, n=8)47% (13849–15328, n=29177)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$572K$3.5M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #33was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=318, ROI +51%
  • Soccer +47 pts n=52, ROI +45%
  • NHL +43 pts n=36, ROI +43%
none with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 456 at avg 50¢, ROI +48%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 8)0%10% (won 57% of 2537)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 247)0%22% (won 94% of 5518)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 100% of 174)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8928)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 27)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh00gringo00RN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Taipei: Kasidit Samrej vs Omar Jasika
opposite sides · consensus Omar Jasika
Kasidit Samrej $877—Omar Jasika $3.8K—