Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-177764853424100gringo00
Record (consensus markets)45% (508–621, n=1129)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)56% (101–79, n=180)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$572K$13.4M$3.5M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #33PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus58% (7 of 12 open)67% (109 of 163 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=308, ROI +50%
  • Soccer +48 pts n=45, ROI +45%
  • NHL +42 pts n=30, ROI +43%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 427 at avg 50¢, ROI +48%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)0%
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 100% of 235)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)0%
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 100% of 162)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 24)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-177764853424100gringo00
Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $9Yes $1.1K——
Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
same side · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Felipe de Dios $287Felipe de Dios $1——
Palermo FC vs. L.R. Vicenza: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $103Under $68——