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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighsainttroplayCORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (535–647, n=1182)71% (10–4, n=14)62% (393–246, n=639)48% (12896–14023, n=26919)
Consensus PnL$572K$4.4M$4.5M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #33was PM monthly #11PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (17 of 27 open)no open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)59% (16 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=308, ROI +50%
  • Soccer +48 pts n=45, ROI +45%
  • NHL +42 pts n=30, ROI +43%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 427 at avg 50¢, ROI +48%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 6)0%9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 100% of 235)50% (won 100% of 5)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 100% of 162)50% (won 100% of 5)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 24)0%2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighsainttroplayCORGIIRN1
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Lakers $2.6K——Raptors $4
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Warriors $1.8K——Clippers $14
Senators vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Senators
Senators $145——Ducks $657
Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $21——Under $99
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $82——Lakers $11