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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| lava-lava | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (374–504, n=878) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #81 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 41% (21 of 51 open) | 60% (121 of 202 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
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| Weakest topic | Finance −15 pts, n=14 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 41% of 872 at avg 39¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 48% (won 7% of 415) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 139) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 70% of 130) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 22% (won 96% of 188) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.