← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | lava-lava | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (574–717, n=1291) | 43% (448–589, n=1037) | 47% (14184–15686, n=29870) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $1.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #58 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 55% (39 of 71 open) | 43% (12 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Finance −15 pts, n=14 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 41% of 880 at avg 39¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 48% (won 8% of 421) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 38% of 140) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 15% (won 70% of 131) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 21% (won 96% of 188) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | lava-lava | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $64K | Yes $9.7K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $2.6K | — | Warriors $380 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $49 | Yes $353 | — |