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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| leflaive | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (1230–1649, n=2879) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (395–248, n=643) | 47% (13868–15346, n=29214) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 90% (148 of 165 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (4 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −3 pts, n=618 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 2768 at avg 42¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 19% of 785) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 38% of 1007) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 58% of 702) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 83% of 274) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | leflaive | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $70 | Yes $280K | — | — |