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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| leflaive | beachboy4 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (1230–1645, n=2875) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 61% (495–321, n=816) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) |
| Consensus PnL | -$15K | $5.8M | -$352K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (5 of 11 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (13 of 18 open) | 55% (26 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −3 pts, n=618 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 2768 at avg 42¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 19% of 785) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 38% of 1007) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 58% of 702) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 83% of 274) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | leflaive | beachboy4 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.6K | Under $129 |