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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| legioncre | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 91% (10–1, n=11) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $40K | $5.8M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #775 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (73 of 101 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 10 at avg 50¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 70% (won 100% of 7) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 100% of 2) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 100% of 1) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | legioncre | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $187 | — | — | Yes $21K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | — | — | Yes $258K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $11K | — | — | Yes $169K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.5K | — | — | Yes $73K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $550 | — | — | Yes $28K |