← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lug | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (1896–1560, n=3456) | 61% (495–321, n=816) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $67K | -$352K | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #876 | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (23 of 32 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 86% (134 of 156 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | MLB −4 pts, n=166 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 3622 at avg 53¢, ROI +1% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 15% of 357) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 33% (won 45% of 1182) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 56% of 1397) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 84% of 686) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | lug | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.6K | — | Yes $31K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6.2K | — | Yes $274K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $507 | — | Yes $172K |