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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| macrosteaks | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2933–2371, n=5304) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$7.9K | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (48 of 99 open) | 86% (134 of 156 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | Esports −4 pts, n=348 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 4909 at avg 50¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 9% of 1820) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 38% of 598) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 60% of 609) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 92% of 1882) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | macrosteaks | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.4K | Yes $6.8K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $454 | Yes $29K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $515 | No $25K |