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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| madkkee | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (1117–419, n=1536) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$113K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #564 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 59% (16 of 27 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −4 pts, n=14 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 85% of 1437 at avg 72¢, ROI +11% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 75% of 4) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 64% of 42) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 78% of 528) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 90% of 863) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | madkkee | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $433 | Commanders $161K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $125 | Commanders $32K | — |