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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| maxiforza | RN1 | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (207–129, n=336) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$99K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −5 pts, n=38 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 301 at avg 66¢, ROI +5% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 22% of 36) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 51% of 45) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 67% of 58) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 54% (won 93% of 162) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | maxiforza | RN1 | beachboy4 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.6K | — | Yes $4.2K | — |