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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
maxiforzabeachboy400gringo00RN1
Record (consensus markets)62% (207–129, n=336)68% (43–20, n=63)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12984–14343, n=27327)
Consensus PnL-$99K$5.8M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +10 pts n=142, ROI +10%
  • Soccer +17 pts n=13, ROI −32%
  • MLB +9 pts n=17, ROI +9%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNBA −5 pts, n=38NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won73% of 301 at avg 66¢, ROI +5%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 22% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)0%10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 51% of 45)29% (won 56% of 62)0%22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 67% of 58)54% (won 51% of 115)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 93% of 162)14% (won 86% of 29)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketmaxiforzabeachboy400gringo00RN1
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.6KYes $4.1K——