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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
melganisBreakTheBankRN10x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Record (consensus markets)79% (1057–288, n=1345)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13853–15337, n=29190)41% (1101–1609, n=2710)
Consensus PnL$57K$10.6M$13.4M$2.9M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #410
Sides with the consensus75% (27 of 36 open)89% (141 of 159 open)100% (2 of 2 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topicCrypto −2 pts, n=71———
Settled positions, side won74% of 1692 at avg 69¢, ROI +2%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢20% (won 7% of 332)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)—
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 41% of 100)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)—
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 70% of 126)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)—
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 97% of 1134)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.