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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
mouzsynapse0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (1032–1194, n=2226)46% (131–154, n=285)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13870–15347, n=29217)
Consensus PnL-$8.1K-$6.6M$5.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #955was PM monthly #715PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus42% (5 of 12 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position56% (10 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEsports −6 pts, n=18College Basketball −12 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won39% of 1477 at avg 36¢, ROI +1%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 19% of 564)0% (won 17% of 6)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 45% of 540)42% (won 46% of 565)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 53% of 298)57% (won 51% of 766)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 85% of 75)0% (won 100% of 4)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketmouzsynapse0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188joseph00677RN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi
opposite sides · consensus Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie $1.0K——Matteo Arnaldi $445
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $522——No $11K
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $7——Under $3.9K
Chonburi FC vs. BG Pathum United: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $20——Under $641