← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| mouzsynapse | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (1032–1194, n=2226) | 47% (13870–15347, n=29217) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 46% (131–154, n=285) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.1K | $14.8M | $5.8M | -$6.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #955 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (7 of 9 open) | 65% (11 of 17 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Esports −6 pts, n=18 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 |
| Settled positions, side won | 39% of 1477 at avg 36¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 38% (won 19% of 564) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 45% of 540) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 42% (won 46% of 565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 53% of 298) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 57% (won 51% of 766) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 85% of 75) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | mouzsynapse | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-02? same side · consensus No | No $522 | No $11K | — | — |
| Chonburi FC vs. BG Pathum United: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $20 | Under $641 | — | — |