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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
myxiRN1BreakTheBanksurfandturf
Record (consensus markets)67% (393–193, n=586)47% (13858–15341, n=29199)45% (542–652, n=1194)54% (225–189, n=414)
Consensus PnL$15K$13.4M$10.6M$9.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #603PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)50% (4 of 8 open)90% (146 of 163 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=13——NFL −11 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won70% of 514 at avg 68¢, ROI +2%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 24% of 29)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)20% (won 12% of 109)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 49% of 69)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)21% (won 46% of 114)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 59% of 129)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)33% (won 60% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 84% of 287)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)26% (won 82% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketmyxiRN1BreakTheBanksurfandturf
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Rinky Hijikata $74Rinky Hijikata $12K——